Tag Archive

Student Craig Perry’s Review of Superforecasting in APF Compass

Published on October 1, 2017 By Kimberly Daniels

In the July 2017 issue of the APF’s Compass, foresight student Craig Perry reviews Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, by Phillip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner. The book, which has received mixed reviews, though mostly positive, puts forward the possibility of making fairly accurate short-term predictions about the future through multiple-source evidence gathering, probabilistic […]

Futurists in the Media: Superforecasting

Published on November 28, 2015 By Joe Murphy

“Forecast, measure, revise. Repeat.” Superforecasting:The Art and Science of Prediction, a book about discerning the future is igniting a lot of discussion in the media about strategy and accuracy of forecasters and futurists. Co-authors Tetlock and Gardner seek an “evidenced based forecasting revolution,” telling us that forecasting is a skill we can cultivate and need […]