Tag Archive

Student Craig Perry’s Review of Superforecasting in APF Compass

Published on October 1, 2017 By Kimberly Daniels

In the July 2017 issue of the APF’s Compass, foresight student Craig Perry reviews Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, by Phillip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner. The book, which has received mixed reviews, though mostly positive, puts forward the possibility of making fairly accurate short-term predictions about the future through multiple-source evidence gathering, probabilistic […]